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Nashville, TN · ZIP 37207 · Census Tract 47037010904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$227K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$270K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$322K
+21% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +21%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $113K | $116K | $121K | $121K | $128K | $152K | $200K | $217K | $226K | $262K | $266K | $267K | $274K | $270K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$153,233 | -$149,533 | -$144,533 | -$144,533 | -$138,133 | -$113,933 | -$66,433 | -$48,733 | -$40,133 | -$3,833 | +$1,189 | +$8,467 | +$4,277 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -57.6% | -56.2% | -54.3% | -54.3% | -51.9% | -42.8% | -25.0% | -18.3% | -15.1% | -1.4% | +0.4% | +3.2% | +1.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $242K | $227K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $303K | $314K | $322K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained, though uncertainty still widens modestly deeper into the horizon.
Near-term band
$240K to $303K
23.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$227K to $322K
35.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $264K | $270K | +2.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010702) | $275K | $299K | +8.9% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010602) | $269K | $289K | +7.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010801) | $262K | $278K | +6.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015629) | $264K | $280K | +6.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015628) | $268K | $282K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $264K | $270K | +2.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013702) | $544K | $659K | +21.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013701) | $441K | $520K | +17.8% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018803) | $545K | $634K | +16.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018410) | $306K | $355K | +16.2% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013500) | $518K | $601K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $264K | $270K | $95K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018204) | $255K | $295K | $143K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015629) | $264K | $280K | $140K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010801) | $262K | $278K | $125K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015615) | $226K | $262K | $107K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010403) | $159K | $172K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Nashville, TN · ZIP 37207 · Census Tract 47037010904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$227K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$270K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$322K
+21% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +21%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $113K | $116K | $121K | $121K | $128K | $152K | $200K | $217K | $226K | $262K | $266K | $267K | $274K | $270K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$153,233 | -$149,533 | -$144,533 | -$144,533 | -$138,133 | -$113,933 | -$66,433 | -$48,733 | -$40,133 | -$3,833 | +$1,189 | +$8,467 | +$4,277 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -57.6% | -56.2% | -54.3% | -54.3% | -51.9% | -42.8% | -25.0% | -18.3% | -15.1% | -1.4% | +0.4% | +3.2% | +1.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $242K | $227K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $303K | $314K | $322K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained, though uncertainty still widens modestly deeper into the horizon.
Near-term band
$240K to $303K
23.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$227K to $322K
35.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $264K | $270K | +2.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010702) | $275K | $299K | +8.9% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010602) | $269K | $289K | +7.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010801) | $262K | $278K | +6.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015629) | $264K | $280K | +6.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015628) | $268K | $282K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $264K | $270K | +2.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013702) | $544K | $659K | +21.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013701) | $441K | $520K | +17.8% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018803) | $545K | $634K | +16.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018410) | $306K | $355K | +16.2% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013500) | $518K | $601K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) | $264K | $270K | $95K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018204) | $255K | $295K | $143K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015629) | $264K | $280K | $140K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010801) | $262K | $278K | $125K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015615) | $226K | $262K | $107K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010403) | $159K | $172K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
