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Anderson, TX · ZIP 75861 · Census Tract 48001951100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$225K
Downside (P10)
$160K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$241K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$313K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $88K | $88K | $89K | $104K | $87K | $122K | $206K | $217K | $217K | $225K | $224K | $241K | $241K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$140,884 | -$137,084 | -$136,984 | -$135,984 | -$120,984 | -$137,684 | -$102,684 | -$18,884 | -$8,084 | -$7,884 | -$570 | +$16,705 | +$16,255 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -62.7% | -61.0% | -60.9% | -60.5% | -53.8% | -61.3% | -45.7% | -8.4% | -3.6% | -3.5% | -0.3% | +7.4% | +7.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $175K | $166K | $160K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $263K | $295K | $313K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$175K to $263K
39.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$160K to $313K
63.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalba-Tennessee Colony | $219K | $241K | +10.2% | |
| Elkhart | $229K | $256K | +11.8% | |
| Palestine (Tract 950600) | $181K | $202K | +11.4% | |
| Frankston | $179K | $194K | +8.5% | |
| Palestine (Tract 950901) | $182K | $195K | +7.3% | |
| Palestine (Tract 950902) | $233K | $237K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalba-Tennessee Colony | $219K | $241K | +10.2% | |
| Palestine (Tract 950700) | $112K | $126K | +12.8% | |
| Elkhart (Tract 951001) | $229K | $256K | +11.8% | |
| Palestine (Tract 950600) | $181K | $202K | +11.4% | |
| Elkhart (Tract 951002) | $169K | $186K | +10.4% | |
| Frankston | $179K | $194K | +8.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalba-Tennessee Colony | $219K | $241K | $153K | |
| Palestine (Tract 950600) | $181K | $202K | $108K | |
| Palestine (Tract 950500) | $157K | $170K | $99K | |
| Elkhart | $169K | $186K | $99K | |
| Palestine (Tract 950800) | $167K | $179K | $91K | |
| Palestine (Tract 950700) | $112K | $126K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Anderson, TX · ZIP 75861 · Census Tract 48001951100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$225K
Downside (P10)
$160K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$241K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$313K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $88K | $88K | $89K | $104K | $87K | $122K | $206K | $217K | $217K | $225K | $224K | $241K | $241K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$140,884 | -$137,084 | -$136,984 | -$135,984 | -$120,984 | -$137,684 | -$102,684 | -$18,884 | -$8,084 | -$7,884 | -$570 | +$16,705 | +$16,255 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -62.7% | -61.0% | -60.9% | -60.5% | -53.8% | -61.3% | -45.7% | -8.4% | -3.6% | -3.5% | -0.3% | +7.4% | +7.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $175K | $166K | $160K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $263K | $295K | $313K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$175K to $263K
39.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$160K to $313K
63.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalba-Tennessee Colony | $219K | $241K | +10.2% | |
| Elkhart | $229K | $256K | +11.8% | |
| Palestine (Tract 950600) | $181K | $202K | +11.4% | |
| Frankston | $179K | $194K | +8.5% | |
| Palestine (Tract 950901) | $182K | $195K | +7.3% | |
| Palestine (Tract 950902) | $233K | $237K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalba-Tennessee Colony | $219K | $241K | +10.2% | |
| Palestine (Tract 950700) | $112K | $126K | +12.8% | |
| Elkhart (Tract 951001) | $229K | $256K | +11.8% | |
| Palestine (Tract 950600) | $181K | $202K | +11.4% | |
| Elkhart (Tract 951002) | $169K | $186K | +10.4% | |
| Frankston | $179K | $194K | +8.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalba-Tennessee Colony | $219K | $241K | $153K | |
| Palestine (Tract 950600) | $181K | $202K | $108K | |
| Palestine (Tract 950500) | $157K | $170K | $99K | |
| Elkhart | $169K | $186K | $99K | |
| Palestine (Tract 950800) | $167K | $179K | $91K | |
| Palestine (Tract 950700) | $112K | $126K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
