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Archer, TX · ZIP 76351 · Census Tract 48009020300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$163K
Downside (P10)
$141K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$172K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$219K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $84K | $90K | $90K | $93K | $115K | $111K | $128K | $149K | $158K | $163K | $165K | $170K | $172K |
| YoY Change | +12.7% | +6.9% | +0.4% | +3.2% | +23.2% | -3.7% | +16.2% | +16.2% | +5.8% | +3.1% | +1.2% | +3.3% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $140K | $145K | $141K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $188K | $207K | $219K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$140K to $188K
29.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$141K to $219K
45.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archer City | $159K | $172K | +8.4% | |
| Holliday (Tract 020100) | $300K | $316K | +5.3% | |
| Holliday (Tract 020200) | $123K | $129K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archer City | $159K | $172K | +8.4% | |
| Holliday (Tract 020100) | $300K | $316K | +5.3% | |
| Holliday (Tract 020200) | $123K | $129K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archer City | $159K | $172K | $78K | |
| Holliday (Tract 020100) | $300K | $316K | $181K | |
| Holliday (Tract 020200) | $123K | $129K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.