What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48013960602 in Jourdanton · 78026 · (Tract 9606.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $226,401 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48013960602 in Jourdanton · 78026 · (Tract 9606.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $226,401 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.5%.

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Parcel 48013960602 (Jourdanton) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48013960602, Jourdanton · 78026 · (Tract 9606.2) Home Price Forecast

Atascosa, TX · ZIP 78026 · Census Tract 48013960602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$226K

Downside (P10)

$189K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$259K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$325K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$126K	$160K	$186K	$173K	$215K	$226K	$228K	$236K	$259K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$100,801	-$66,101	-$40,301	-$53,701	-$11,101		+$1,136	+$9,280	+$32,814
Growth % vs 2026	-44.5%	-29.2%	-17.8%	-23.7%	-4.9%		+0.5%	+4.1%	+14.5%
Downside (P10)							$188K	$192K	$189K
Upside (P90)							$262K	$284K	$325K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$188K to $262K

32.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$189K to $325K

52.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +14.5% · Spread: 53%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48013960602, Jourdanton · 78026 · (Tract 9606.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).