Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Austin, TX · ZIP 78726 · Census Tract 48453034500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$790K
Downside (P10)
$686K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$878K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+52% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $522K | $600K | $630K | $706K | $772K | $790K | $809K | $833K | $878K |
| YoY Change | +14.9% | +5.0% | +12.1% | +9.3% | +2.2% | +2.5% | +3.0% | +5.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $681K | $693K | $686K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $995K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$681K to $995K
38.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$686K to $1.20M
58.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin | $779K | $878K | +12.7% | |
| Austin (Tract 001101) | $796K | $867K | +8.9% | |
| Austin (Tract 033300) | $791K | $858K | +8.6% | |
| Austin (Tract 001914) | $791K | $851K | +7.5% | |
| Austin (Tract 001501) | $798K | $850K | +6.5% | |
| Southwest Travis | $784K | $805K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin | $779K | $878K | +12.7% | |
| Austin (Tract 041600) | $410K | $501K | +22.2% | |
| Austin (Tract 002448) | $333K | $406K | +22.1% | |
| Northeast Travis | $526K | $638K | +21.3% | |
| Northwest Travis | $894K | $1.08M | +20.4% | |
| Austin (Tract 002442) | $425K | $510K | +20.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin | $779K | $878K | $514K | |
| Northeast Travis (Tract 045800) | $239K | $256K | $121K | |
| Northwest Travis | $160K | $170K | $116K | |
| Austin (Tract 002327) | $170K | $179K | $106K | |
| Northeast Travis (Tract 044800) | $118K | $135K | $68K | |
| Austin (Tract 002430) | $67K | $73K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.