What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48453001309 in Austin?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $956,705 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48453001309 in Austin?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $956,705 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.9%.

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Parcel 48453001309 (Austin) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48453001309, Austin Home Price Forecast

Austin, TX · ZIP 78704 · Census Tract 48453001309 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$957K

Downside (P10)

$803K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.03M

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.25M

+31% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$655K	$787K	$848K	$912K	$919K	$957K	$977K	$988K	$1.0M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$301,905	-$169,405	-$108,605	-$44,405	-$37,305		+$20,727	+$31,659	+$75,194
Growth % vs 2026	-31.6%	-17.7%	-11.4%	-4.6%	-3.9%		+2.2%	+3.3%	+7.9%
Downside (P10)							$756K	$767K	$803K
Upside (P90)							$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.3M

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$756K to $1.1M

35.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$803K to $1.3M

43.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.9% · Spread: 43%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48453001309, Austin on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).