What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48453031500 in Southwest Travis?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $490,594 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48453031500 in Southwest Travis?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $490,594 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.7%.

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Parcel 48453031500 (Southwest Travis) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48453031500, Southwest Travis Home Price Forecast

Austin, TX · ZIP 78734 · Census Tract 48453031500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$491K

Downside (P10)

$390K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$514K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$666K

+36% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$342K	$374K	$450K	$494K	$493K	$491K	$500K	$501K	$514K	$512K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$148,394	-$116,594	-$40,494	+$3,506	+$2,106		+$9,248	+$10,402	+$23,153	+$21,217
Growth % vs 2026	-30.2%	-23.8%	-8.3%	+0.7%	+0.4%		+1.9%	+2.1%	+4.7%	+4.3%
Downside (P10)							$392K	$375K	$390K	$459K
Upside (P90)							$600K	$638K	$666K	$573K

Forecast Confidence

88%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$392K to $600K

41.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$459K to $573K

22.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.3% · Spread: 22%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48453031500, Southwest Travis on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).