What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660610 in Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $356,814 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660610 in Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $356,814 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.5%.

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Parcel 48039660610 (Pearland) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48039660610, Pearland Home Price Forecast

Brazoria, TX · ZIP 77584 · Census Tract 48039660610 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$357K

Downside (P10)

$262K

-26% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$373K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$516K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$247K	$277K	$313K	$324K	$354K	$357K	$360K	$364K	$373K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$109,814	-$79,514	-$43,514	-$33,114	-$3,014		+$3,645	+$6,901	+$16,006
Growth % vs 2026	-30.8%	-22.3%	-12.2%	-9.3%	-0.8%		+1.0%	+1.9%	+4.5%
Downside (P10)							$286K	$268K	$262K
Upside (P90)							$449K	$498K	$516K

Forecast Confidence

63%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$286K to $449K

45.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$262K to $516K

68.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.5% · Spread: 68%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 48039660610, Pearland on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).