What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660707 in Alvin-Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $350,498 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660707 in Alvin-Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $350,498 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.2%.

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Parcel 48039660707 (Alvin-Pearland) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48039660707, Alvin-Pearland Home Price Forecast

Brazoria, TX · ZIP 77584 · Census Tract 48039660707 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$350K

Downside (P10)

$289K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$397K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$499K

+42% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$242K	$246K	$323K	$314K	$336K	$350K	$360K	$377K	$397K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$108,398	-$104,998	-$27,998	-$36,498	-$14,198		+$9,086	+$26,326	+$46,146
Growth % vs 2026	-30.9%	-30.0%	-8.0%	-10.4%	-4.1%		+2.6%	+7.5%	+13.2%
Downside (P10)							$308K	$307K	$289K
Upside (P90)							$430K	$460K	$499K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$308K to $430K

33.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$289K to $499K

52.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.2% · Spread: 53%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48039660707, Alvin-Pearland on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).