What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660806 in Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $346,550 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660806 in Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $346,550 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.4%.

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Parcel 48039660806 (Pearland) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48039660806, Pearland Home Price Forecast

Brazoria, TX · ZIP 77584 · Census Tract 48039660806 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$347K

Downside (P10)

$303K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$397K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$504K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$229K	$221K	$234K	$300K	$325K	$347K	$360K	$374K	$397K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$117,450	-$125,650	-$112,850	-$46,550	-$22,050		+$13,152	+$27,395	+$49,993
Growth % vs 2026	-33.9%	-36.3%	-32.6%	-13.4%	-6.4%		+3.8%	+7.9%	+14.4%
Downside (P10)							$303K	$305K	$303K
Upside (P90)							$428K	$475K	$504K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$303K to $428K

34.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$303K to $504K

50.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +14.4% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48039660806, Pearland on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).