What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660902 in Alvin-Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $335,132 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48039660902 in Alvin-Pearland?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $335,132 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

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Parcel 48039660902 (Alvin-Pearland) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48039660902, Alvin-Pearland Home Price Forecast

Brazoria, TX · ZIP 77584 · Census Tract 48039660902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$335K

Downside (P10)

$291K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$348K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$517K

+54% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$251K	$257K	$290K	$317K	$336K	$335K	$336K	$346K	$348K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$84,232	-$77,932	-$45,432	-$18,132	+$1,269		+$711	+$10,746	+$12,725
Growth % vs 2026	-25.1%	-23.3%	-13.6%	-5.4%	+0.4%		+0.2%	+3.2%	+3.8%
Downside (P10)							$309K	$309K	$291K
Upside (P90)							$406K	$447K	$517K

Forecast Confidence

64%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$309K to $406K

28.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$291K to $517K

65.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.8% · Spread: 65%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 48039660902, Alvin-Pearland on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).