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Burnet, TX · ZIP 78605 · Census Tract 48053960102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$363K
Downside (P10)
$284K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$402K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$469K
+29% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +29%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $197K | $229K | $297K | $342K | $363K | $370K | $400K | $402K |
| YoY Change | +13.7% | +16.6% | +29.6% | +15.2% | +6.1% | +1.9% | +8.0% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $298K | $301K | $284K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $410K | $440K | $469K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$298K to $410K
30.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$284K to $469K
46.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bertram | $352K | $402K | +14.1% | |
| Briggs | $359K | $384K | +6.9% | |
| Marble Falls (Tract 960702) | $370K | $379K | +2.5% | |
| Marble Falls (Tract 960502) | $371K | $401K | +8.3% | |
| Burnet (Tract 960200) | $373K | $424K | +13.8% | |
| Burnet (Tract 960401) | $378K | $426K | +12.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bertram | $352K | $402K | +14.1% | |
| Burnet (Tract 960200) | $373K | $424K | +13.8% | |
| Burnet (Tract 960401) | $378K | $426K | +12.8% | |
| Marble Falls (Tract 960501) | $258K | $286K | +11.1% | |
| Marble Falls (Tract 960802) | $529K | $575K | +8.7% | |
| Marble Falls (Tract 960502) | $371K | $401K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bertram | $352K | $402K | $185K | |
| Marble Falls (Tract 960501) | $258K | $286K | $150K | |
| Burnet | $245K | $258K | $150K | |
| Briggs | $359K | $384K | $193K | |
| Marble Falls (Tract 960702) | $370K | $379K | $206K | |
| Marble Falls (Tract 960801) | $335K | $338K | $207K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.