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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Caldwell, TX · ZIP 78644 · Census Tract 48055960102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$269K
Downside (P10)
$215K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$286K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$400K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $132K | $121K | $120K | $117K | $119K | $122K | $168K | $197K | $234K | $261K | $269K | $278K | $280K | $286K |
| YoY Change | -8.5% | -1.1% | -2.1% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +37.9% | +17.5% | +18.8% | +11.6% | +3.1% | +3.4% | +0.4% | +2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $234K | $227K | $215K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $344K | $375K | $400K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$234K to $344K
39.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$215K to $400K
64.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lockhart · 78644 · (Tract 9601.2) | $267K | $286K | +7.0% | |
| Lockhart | $241K | $264K | +9.7% | |
| Luling (Tract 960702) | $242K | $265K | +9.4% | |
| Martindale (Tract 960501) | $273K | $288K | +5.6% | |
| Martindale (Tract 960502) | $250K | $260K | +4.0% | |
| Luling (Tract 960600) | $247K | $244K | -1.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lockhart · 78644 · (Tract 9601.2) | $267K | $286K | +7.0% | |
| Luling (Tract 960701) | $101K | $117K | +15.5% | |
| Lockhart (Tract 960400) | $155K | $174K | +12.2% | |
| Lockhart (Tract 960300) | $301K | $331K | +10.1% | |
| Lockhart (Tract 960104) | $241K | $264K | +9.7% | |
| Luling (Tract 960702) | $242K | $265K | +9.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lockhart · 78644 · (Tract 9601.2) | $267K | $286K | $185K | |
| Martindale | $250K | $260K | $142K | |
| Lockhart (Tract 960104) | $241K | $264K | $139K | |
| Luling (Tract 960600) | $247K | $244K | $129K | |
| Luling (Tract 960701) | $101K | $117K | $70K | |
| Lockhart (Tract 960400) | $155K | $174K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.