What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48055960103 in Lockhart?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $315,767 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48055960103 in Lockhart?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $315,767 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

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Parcel 48055960103 (Lockhart) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48055960103, Lockhart Home Price Forecast

Caldwell, TX · ZIP 78616 · Census Tract 48055960103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$316K

Downside (P10)

$255K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$328K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$442K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$131K	$162K	$177K	$149K	$314K	$316K	$317K	$318K	$328K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$185,167	-$154,167	-$138,967	-$166,467	-$1,467		+$1,025	+$2,290	+$11,930
Growth % vs 2026	-58.6%	-48.8%	-44.0%	-52.7%	-0.5%		+0.3%	+0.7%	+3.8%
Downside (P10)							$269K	$253K	$255K
Upside (P90)							$406K	$430K	$442K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$269K to $406K

43.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$255K to $442K

56.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.8% · Spread: 57%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48055960103, Lockhart on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).