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Cameron, TX · ZIP 78550 · Census Tract 48061010700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$144K
Downside (P10)
$121K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$153K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$189K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $69K | $70K | $73K | $73K | $78K | $88K | $107K | $113K | $134K | $138K | $144K | $148K | $151K | $153K | $143K |
| YoY Change | +1.5% | +5.5% | -0.3% | +6.7% | +12.4% | +22.3% | +5.7% | +18.5% | +2.7% | +4.4% | +2.8% | +2.1% | +1.3% | -6.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $119K | $117K | $121K | $125K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $169K | $181K | $189K | $163K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$119K to $169K
34.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$125K to $163K
26.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harlingen | $141K | $153K | +8.8% | |
| Harlingen-San Benito (Tract 010403) | $163K | $186K | +14.2% | |
| Harlingen (Tract 011301) | $153K | $172K | +12.4% | |
| Harlingen-San Benito (Tract 010201) | $127K | $140K | +10.3% | |
| Harlingen-San Benito (Tract 010406) | $155K | $167K | +8.2% | |
| Harlingen (Tract 010801) | $126K | $135K | +7.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harlingen | $141K | $153K | +8.8% | |
| Harlingen-San Benito (Tract 010303) | $195K | $231K | +18.6% | |
| Rio Hondo | $118K | $138K | +17.0% | |
| Harlingen-San Benito (Tract 010403) | $163K | $186K | +14.2% | |
| Harlingen (Tract 011200) | $105K | $119K | +13.0% | |
| Harlingen (Tract 011301) | $153K | $172K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harlingen | $141K | $153K | $68K | |
| Harlingen (Tract 010603) | $83K | $90K | $45K | |
| Harlingen (Tract 011100) | $96K | $106K | $44K | |
| Harlingen (Tract 010500) | $75K | $80K | $40K | |
| Harlingen-San Benito | $85K | $93K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.