County 48000, TX · Census Tract 48000050038 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.20M
Downside (P10)
$542K
-55% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$989K
-18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.61M
+34% by 2030
Base case: -18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -55% to +34%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 48000 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $968K | $989K |
| YoY Change | +0.9% | -8.7% | -12.5% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $662K | $591K | $540K | $542K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$802K to $1.48M
56.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$542K to $1.61M
107.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 050669 | $307K | $369K | +20.1% |
| Tract 050520 | $302K | $335K | +11.1% |
| Tract 050342 | $299K | $346K | +15.6% |
| Tract 050203 | $294K | $325K | +10.6% |
| Tract 050504 | $294K | $334K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000761 | $167K | $277K | +65.5% |
| Tract 000062 | $165K | $271K | +64.2% |
| Tract 000842 | $149K | $234K | +56.8% |
| Tract 000923 | $168K | $263K | +56.3% |
| Tract 000907 | $181K | $282K | +55.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 050287 | $148K | $219K | $173K |
| Tract 000101 | $169K | $253K | $196K |
| Tract 000486 | $157K | $229K | $199K |
| Tract 000321 | $182K | $265K | $210K |
| Tract 050067 | $161K | $235K | $219K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources