County 48000, TX · Census Tract 48000050203 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$294K
Downside (P10)
$171K
-42% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$325K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$636K
+117% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -42% to +117%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 48000 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $294K | $319K | $301K | $304K | $325K |
| YoY Change | +8.4% | -5.5% | +0.9% | +7.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $206K | $178K | $171K | $171K | |
| Upside (P90) | $469K | $500K | $551K | $636K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$229K to $383K
52.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$171K to $636K
143.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 050504 | $294K | $334K | +13.5% |
| Tract 050180 | $290K | $330K | +13.7% |
| Tract 050342 | $299K | $346K | +15.6% |
| Tract 050520 | $302K | $335K | +11.1% |
| Tract 050669 | $307K | $369K | +20.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000761 | $167K | $277K | +65.5% |
| Tract 000062 | $165K | $271K | +64.2% |
| Tract 000842 | $149K | $234K | +56.8% |
| Tract 000923 | $168K | $263K | +56.3% |
| Tract 000907 | $181K | $282K | +55.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 050287 | $148K | $219K | $173K |
| Tract 000101 | $169K | $253K | $196K |
| Tract 000486 | $157K | $229K | $199K |
| Tract 000321 | $182K | $265K | $210K |
| Tract 050067 | $161K | $235K | $219K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources