County 48800, TX · Census Tract 48800001083 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$625K
Downside (P10)
$592K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$840K
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+88% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +88%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 48800 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $625K | $693K | $741K | $783K | $840K |
| YoY Change | +10.9% | +6.9% | +5.7% | +7.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $555K | $574K | $564K | $592K | |
| Upside (P90) | $847K | $962K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$554K to $715K
25.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$592K to $1.17M
69.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002066 | $620K | $801K | +29.1% |
| Tract 002529 | $639K | $857K | +34.1% |
| Tract 001261 | $642K | $834K | +30.0% |
| Tract 002684 | $593K | $795K | +34.0% |
| Tract 002189 | $660K | $891K | +34.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 002707 | $875K | $1.28M | +46.6% |
| Tract 002309 | $667K | $963K | +44.4% |
| Tract 002082 | $573K | $818K | +42.8% |
| Tract 002367 | $569K | $810K | +42.4% |
| Tract 002341 | $523K | $744K | +42.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001106 | $570K | $760K | $479K |
| Tract 000822 | $520K | $669K | $481K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources