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Dallas, TX · ZIP 75214 · Census Tract 48113000100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.11M
Downside (P10)
$899K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.20M
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.50M
+35% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $560K | $592K | $578K | $610K | $662K | $750K | $780K | $994K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +5.7% | -2.4% | +5.6% | +8.5% | +13.3% | +4.0% | +27.3% | +7.2% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +3.0% | +4.2% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $953K | $951K | $899K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$953K to $1.36M
35.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$899K to $1.50M
49.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | $1.10M | $1.20M | +8.6% | |
| Dallas (Tract 007701) | $1.09M | $1.25M | +14.7% | |
| Dallas (Tract 013201) | $1.05M | $1.20M | +14.2% | |
| Dallas (Tract 013611) | $1.10M | $1.21M | +9.6% | |
| Dallas (Tract 001001) | $1.06M | $1.15M | +8.3% | |
| Dallas (Tract 007605) | $1.08M | $1.13M | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | $1.10M | $1.20M | +8.6% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000703) | $512K | $638K | +24.7% | |
| Dallas (Tract 008401) | $213K | $259K | +21.3% | |
| Grand Prairie | $259K | $315K | +21.3% | |
| Irving | $229K | $277K | +20.9% | |
| Dallas (Tract 013607) | $629K | $756K | +20.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | $1.10M | $1.20M | $597K | |
| Balch Springs | $118K | $131K | $69K | |
| Dallas (Tract 021100) | $127K | $145K | $66K | |
| Dallas (Tract 018505) | $96K | $98K | $45K | |
| Dallas (Tract 017009) | $62K | $69K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.