What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48113017307 in Mesquite · 75181 · (Tract 173.7)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $299,871 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48113017307 in Mesquite · 75181 · (Tract 173.7)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $299,871 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.8%.

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Parcel 48113017307 (Mesquite) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48113017307, Mesquite · 75181 · (Tract 173.7) Home Price Forecast

Dallas, TX · ZIP 75181 · Census Tract 48113017307 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$300K

Downside (P10)

$262K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$335K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$408K

+36% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$210K	$226K	$261K	$283K	$294K	$300K	$300K	$315K	$335K	$309K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$89,971	-$74,271	-$39,271	-$17,071	-$6,271		-$364	+$15,624	+$35,491	+$9,156
Growth % vs 2026	-30.0%	-24.8%	-13.1%	-5.7%	-2.1%		-0.1%	+5.2%	+11.8%	+3.1%
Downside (P10)							$267K	$263K	$262K	$270K
Upside (P90)							$358K	$381K	$408K	$345K

Forecast Confidence

87%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$267K to $358K

30.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$270K to $345K

24.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.1% · Spread: 24%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48113017307, Mesquite · 75181 · (Tract 173.7) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).