What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121021536 in The Colony?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $472,768 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121021536 in The Colony?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $472,768 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.3%.

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Parcel 48121021536 (The Colony) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48121021536, The Colony Home Price Forecast

Denton, TX · ZIP 75036 · Census Tract 48121021536 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$473K

Downside (P10)

$413K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$526K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$675K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$299K	$309K	$377K	$421K	$473K	$473K	$495K	$504K	$526K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$174,268	-$163,368	-$95,868	-$51,368	+$232		+$22,005	+$31,020	+$53,275
Growth % vs 2026	-36.9%	-34.6%	-20.3%	-10.9%	+0.0%		+4.7%	+6.6%	+11.3%
Downside (P10)							$406K	$388K	$413K
Upside (P90)							$577K	$620K	$675K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$406K to $577K

34.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$413K to $675K

49.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.3% · Spread: 50%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48121021536, The Colony on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).