What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121021643 in Carrollton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $701,384 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121021643 in Carrollton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $701,384 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.3%.

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Parcel 48121021643 (Carrollton) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48121021643, Carrollton Home Price Forecast

Denton, TX · ZIP 75056 · Census Tract 48121021643 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$701K

Downside (P10)

$596K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$731K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$959K

+37% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$489K	$511K	$609K	$633K	$675K	$701K	$712K	$728K	$731K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$212,484	-$189,984	-$92,884	-$68,684	-$26,784		+$10,415	+$26,998	+$29,924
Growth % vs 2026	-30.3%	-27.1%	-13.2%	-9.8%	-3.8%		+1.5%	+3.8%	+4.3%
Downside (P10)							$569K	$583K	$596K
Upside (P90)							$811K	$865K	$959K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$569K to $811K

34.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$596K to $959K

49.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.3% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48121021643, Carrollton on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).