What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48157672305 in Sugar Land · 77498 · (Tract 6723.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $298,789 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48157672305 in Sugar Land · 77498 · (Tract 6723.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $298,789 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.2%.

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Parcel 48157672305 (Sugar Land) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48157672305, Sugar Land · 77498 · (Tract 6723.5) Home Price Forecast

Fort Bend, TX · ZIP 77498 · Census Tract 48157672305 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$299K

Downside (P10)

$268K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$335K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$431K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$232K	$238K	$265K	$287K	$294K	$299K	$305K	$317K	$335K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$67,189	-$60,589	-$33,389	-$11,889	-$4,589		+$6,139	+$18,526	+$36,478
Growth % vs 2026	-22.5%	-20.3%	-11.2%	-4.0%	-1.5%		+2.1%	+6.2%	+12.2%
Downside (P10)							$267K	$265K	$268K
Upside (P90)							$365K	$422K	$431K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$267K to $365K

32.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$268K to $431K

48.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.2% · Spread: 49%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48157672305, Sugar Land · 77498 · (Tract 6723.5) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).