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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Fort Bend, TX · ZIP 77407 · Census Tract 48157672903 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$314K
Downside (P10)
$262K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$360K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$488K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $260K | $257K | $307K | $304K | $314K | $314K | $326K | $337K | $360K |
| YoY Change | -1.3% | +19.6% | -0.9% | +3.3% | +0.0% | +3.9% | +3.2% | +6.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $266K | $244K | $262K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $406K | $445K | $488K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$266K to $406K
42.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$262K to $488K
63.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Land · Richmond · (Tract 6729.3) | $307K | $360K | +17.1% | |
| Rosenberg-Richmond (Tract 675401) | $310K | $362K | +16.8% | |
| Sugar Land (Tract 673802) | $307K | $352K | +14.7% | |
| Sugar Land (Tract 672906) | $306K | $351K | +14.7% | |
| Sugar Land (Tract 673801) | $322K | $365K | +13.2% | |
| Rosenberg-Richmond (Tract 674604) | $315K | $326K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Land · Richmond · (Tract 6729.3) | $307K | $360K | +17.1% | |
| Richmond | $678K | $847K | +24.9% | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $130K | $156K | +19.5% | |
| Cinco Ranch | $624K | $743K | +19.1% | |
| Sugar Land | $352K | $414K | +17.9% | |
| Needville | $330K | $389K | +17.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Land · Richmond · (Tract 6729.3) | $307K | $360K | $227K | |
| Rosenberg | $185K | $190K | $89K | |
| Fort Bend (Tract 670201) | $190K | $207K | $87K | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $130K | $156K | $86K | |
| Rosenberg-Richmond | $144K | $166K | $83K | |
| Fort Bend (Tract 670101) | $173K | $190K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.