What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48157672202 in Sugar Land?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $379,847 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48157672202 in Sugar Land?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $379,847 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.8%.

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Parcel 48157672202 (Sugar Land) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48157672202, Sugar Land Home Price Forecast

Fort Bend, TX · ZIP 77498 · Census Tract 48157672202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$380K

Downside (P10)

$294K

-23% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$394K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$543K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$266K	$265K	$296K	$320K	$350K	$380K	$385K	$392K	$394K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$113,947	-$114,547	-$83,747	-$59,547	-$29,547		+$5,143	+$12,430	+$14,278
Growth % vs 2026	-30.0%	-30.2%	-22.0%	-15.7%	-7.8%		+1.4%	+3.3%	+3.8%
Downside (P10)							$297K	$300K	$294K
Upside (P90)							$481K	$518K	$543K

Forecast Confidence

65%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$297K to $481K

48.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$294K to $543K

63.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.8% · Spread: 63%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 48157672202, Sugar Land on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).