What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48157674002 in Sugar Land?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $349,301 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48157674002 in Sugar Land?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $349,301 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.8%.

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Parcel 48157674002 (Sugar Land) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48157674002, Sugar Land Home Price Forecast

Fort Bend, TX · ZIP 77479 · Census Tract 48157674002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$349K

Downside (P10)

$309K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$390K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$516K

+48% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$198K	$259K	$305K	$318K	$338K	$349K	$351K	$373K	$390K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$151,701	-$90,601	-$44,701	-$31,801	-$11,101		+$1,681	+$23,740	+$41,136
Growth % vs 2026	-43.4%	-25.9%	-12.8%	-9.1%	-3.2%		+0.5%	+6.8%	+11.8%
Downside (P10)							$315K	$321K	$309K
Upside (P90)							$430K	$478K	$516K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$315K to $430K

32.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$309K to $516K

53.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.8% · Spread: 53%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48157674002, Sugar Land on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).