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Galveston, TX · ZIP 77573 · Census Tract 48167721211 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$616K
Downside (P10)
$548K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$670K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$902K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $346K | $374K | $460K | $535K | $614K | $616K | $643K | $653K | $670K |
| YoY Change | +7.9% | +23.1% | +16.4% | +14.7% | +0.4% | +4.3% | +1.6% | +2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $507K | $526K | $548K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $751K | $838K | $902K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$507K to $751K
38.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$548K to $902K
52.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| League City · 77573 · (Tract 7212.11) | $625K | $670K | +7.2% | |
| Galveston | $498K | $559K | +12.1% | |
| Friendswood (Tract 720400) | $505K | $557K | +10.1% | |
| League City (Tract 720703) | $492K | $539K | +9.6% | |
| League City (Tract 721502) | $503K | $542K | +7.8% | |
| Friendswood (Tract 720200) | $576K | $613K | +6.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| League City · 77573 · (Tract 7212.11) | $625K | $670K | +7.2% | |
| Friendswood | $374K | $462K | +23.6% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725500) | $391K | $474K | +21.2% | |
| Texas City-League City (Tract 723401) | $171K | $202K | +17.5% | |
| Texas City-League City (Tract 723504) | $285K | $332K | +16.6% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725700) | $353K | $412K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| League City · 77573 · (Tract 7212.11) | $625K | $670K | $354K | |
| Galveston | $181K | $199K | $94K | |
| Bacliff (Tract 721702) | $177K | $200K | $91K | |
| Texas City (Tract 722700) | $168K | $175K | $87K | |
| Bacliff (Tract 721701) | $137K | $153K | $74K | |
| Texas City (Tract 722200) | $143K | $145K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.