Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Galveston, TX · ZIP 77590 · Census Tract 48167722200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$144K
Downside (P10)
$121K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$145K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$180K
+24% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $86K | $85K | $82K | $90K | $115K | $106K | $130K | $139K | $139K | $141K | $144K | $145K | $143K | $145K |
| YoY Change | -0.4% | -4.6% | +9.8% | +28.7% | -8.2% | +23.1% | +6.5% | +0.4% | +1.2% | +2.5% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $122K | $123K | $121K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $168K | $172K | $180K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$122K to $168K
31.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$121K to $180K
40.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas City · 77590 · (Tract 7222) | $143K | $145K | +1.5% | |
| Texas City-League City | $144K | $166K | +14.6% | |
| Bacliff | $137K | $153K | +12.1% | |
| Texas City (Tract 722600) | $158K | $176K | +11.6% | |
| Texas City (Tract 726200) | $155K | $172K | +11.0% | |
| Galveston | $157K | $170K | +8.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas City · 77590 · (Tract 7222) | $143K | $145K | +1.5% | |
| Friendswood | $374K | $462K | +23.6% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725500) | $391K | $474K | +21.2% | |
| Texas City-League City (Tract 723401) | $171K | $202K | +17.5% | |
| Texas City-League City (Tract 723504) | $285K | $332K | +16.6% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725700) | $353K | $412K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas City · 77590 · (Tract 7222) | $143K | $145K | $59K | |
| Texas City-League City | $171K | $202K | $95K | |
| Galveston | $181K | $199K | $94K | |
| Bacliff (Tract 721702) | $177K | $200K | $91K | |
| Texas City | $168K | $175K | $87K | |
| Bacliff (Tract 721701) | $137K | $153K | $74K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.