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Galveston, TX · ZIP 77573 · Census Tract 48167720512 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$392K
Downside (P10)
$367K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$431K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$552K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $256K | $277K | $312K | $336K | $368K | $392K | $404K | $419K | $431K | $390K |
| YoY Change | +8.1% | +12.6% | +7.9% | +9.5% | +6.5% | +3.1% | +3.8% | +2.8% | -9.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $349K | $357K | $367K | $346K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $492K | $507K | $552K | $440K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$349K to $492K
35.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$346K to $440K
24.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| League City | $377K | $431K | +14.3% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725500) | $391K | $474K | +21.2% | |
| League City | $384K | $426K | +10.9% | |
| Texas City-League City | $384K | $413K | +7.7% | |
| Galveston (Tract 726000) | $396K | $424K | +7.1% | |
| Galveston (Tract 724400) | $382K | $399K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| League City | $377K | $431K | +14.3% | |
| Friendswood | $374K | $462K | +23.6% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725500) | $391K | $474K | +21.2% | |
| Texas City-League City (Tract 723401) | $171K | $202K | +17.5% | |
| Texas City-League City (Tract 723504) | $285K | $332K | +16.6% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725700) | $353K | $412K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| League City | $377K | $431K | $185K | |
| Galveston | $181K | $199K | $94K | |
| Bacliff (Tract 721702) | $177K | $200K | $91K | |
| Texas City (Tract 722700) | $168K | $175K | $87K | |
| Bacliff (Tract 721701) | $137K | $153K | $74K | |
| Texas City (Tract 722200) | $143K | $145K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.