What is the home price forecast for Gladewater · 75647 · (Tract 102.2)?

Homecastr forecasts Gladewater · 75647 · (Tract 102.2) median home values at $190,740 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 15.6%.

How confident is the Gladewater · 75647 · (Tract 102.2) forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $170,093 (downside) to $268,836 (upside), with a spread of 45% of median.

Gladewater · 75647 · (Tract 102.2) Home Price Forecast

Gregg, TX · ZIP 75647 · Census Tract 48183010202 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$191K

Downside (P10)

$170K

-11% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$221K

+16% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$269K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +41%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Gregg markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$107K	$141K	$154K	$172K	$186K	$191K	$191K	$204K	$221K
YoY Change		+31.7%	+8.8%	+11.8%	+8.5%	+2.4%	+0.0%	+7.2%	+7.9%
Downside (P10)							$164K	$164K	$170K
Upside (P90)							$246K	$262K	$269K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.

1-Year Spread

$164K to $246K

43.1% of median

5-Year Spread

$170K to $269K

44.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +15.6% · Spread: 45%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Gladewater · 75647 · (Tract 102.2)	$191K	$221K	+15.2%
Kilgore	$204K	$216K	+6.0%
Longview	$204K	$209K	+2.4%
Longview	$173K	$180K	+3.8%
Longview	$173K	$192K	+11.0%
Longview	$216K	$227K	+5.0%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Gladewater · 75647 · (Tract 102.2)	$191K	$221K	+15.2%
Longview	$102K	$121K	+19.3%
Longview	$240K	$277K	+15.1%
Longview	$145K	$164K	+13.0%
Lakeport	$233K	$260K	+11.8%
Longview	$173K	$192K	+11.0%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Gladewater · 75647 · (Tract 102.2)	$191K	$221K	$99K
Longview	$91K	$98K	$44K
Longview	$84K	$85K	$47K
Longview	$87K	$95K	$51K
Liberty City	$123K	$128K	$58K
Longview	$111K	$112K	$59K

Location

Gladewater · 75647 · (Tract 102.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).