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Guadalupe, TX · ZIP 78130 · Census Tract 48187210609 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$386K
Downside (P10)
$350K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$420K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$508K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $276K | $282K | $332K | $367K | $373K | $386K | $392K | $414K | $420K | $390K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$109,844 | -$103,944 | -$53,644 | -$18,744 | -$13,244 | +$6,550 | +$27,858 | +$34,327 | +$4,542 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.5% | -26.9% | -13.9% | -4.9% | -3.4% | +1.7% | +7.2% | +8.9% | +1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $351K | $354K | $350K | $354K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $460K | $490K | $508K | $442K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$351K to $460K
27.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$354K to $442K
22.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Braunfels | $376K | $420K | +11.8% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210612) | $371K | $423K | +14.0% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210513) | $373K | $414K | +11.0% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210606) | $391K | $424K | +8.6% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210712) | $394K | $423K | +7.5% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210510) | $364K | $387K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Braunfels | $376K | $420K | +11.8% | |
| Schertz | $163K | $187K | +14.5% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210713) | $361K | $412K | +14.3% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | +14.2% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210612) | $371K | $423K | +14.0% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210400) | $293K | $333K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Braunfels | $376K | $420K | $159K | |
| Schertz | $163K | $187K | $98K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210806) | $173K | $193K | $95K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | $95K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210200) | $156K | $170K | $89K | |
| Northeast Guadalupe | $119K | $125K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Guadalupe, TX · ZIP 78130 · Census Tract 48187210609 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$386K
Downside (P10)
$350K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$420K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$508K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $276K | $282K | $332K | $367K | $373K | $386K | $392K | $414K | $420K | $390K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$109,844 | -$103,944 | -$53,644 | -$18,744 | -$13,244 | +$6,550 | +$27,858 | +$34,327 | +$4,542 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.5% | -26.9% | -13.9% | -4.9% | -3.4% | +1.7% | +7.2% | +8.9% | +1.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $351K | $354K | $350K | $354K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $460K | $490K | $508K | $442K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$351K to $460K
27.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$354K to $442K
22.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Braunfels | $376K | $420K | +11.8% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210612) | $371K | $423K | +14.0% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210513) | $373K | $414K | +11.0% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210606) | $391K | $424K | +8.6% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210712) | $394K | $423K | +7.5% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210510) | $364K | $387K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Braunfels | $376K | $420K | +11.8% | |
| Schertz | $163K | $187K | +14.5% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210713) | $361K | $412K | +14.3% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | +14.2% | |
| Schertz-Cibolo (Tract 210612) | $371K | $423K | +14.0% | |
| Seguin (Tract 210400) | $293K | $333K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Braunfels | $376K | $420K | $159K | |
| Schertz | $163K | $187K | $98K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210806) | $173K | $193K | $95K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210300) | $169K | $193K | $95K | |
| Seguin (Tract 210200) | $156K | $170K | $89K | |
| Northeast Guadalupe | $119K | $125K | $61K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
