What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48209010306 in San Marcos?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $226,811 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48209010306 in San Marcos?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $226,811 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.1%.

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Parcel 48209010306 (San Marcos) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48209010306, San Marcos Home Price Forecast

Hays, TX · ZIP 78666 · Census Tract 48209010306 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$227K

Downside (P10)

$197K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$250K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$322K

+42% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$52K	$52K	$51K	$45K	$218K	$227K	$233K	$234K	$250K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$174,411	-$174,611	-$176,111	-$181,811	-$8,411		+$5,842	+$6,694	+$22,921
Growth % vs 2026	-76.9%	-77.0%	-77.6%	-80.2%	-3.7%		+2.6%	+3.0%	+10.1%
Downside (P10)							$202K	$203K	$197K
Upside (P90)							$279K	$316K	$322K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$202K to $279K

33.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$197K to $322K

50.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.1% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48209010306, San Marcos on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).