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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Henderson, TX · ZIP 75751 · Census Tract 48213951101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$220K
Downside (P10)
$189K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$240K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$286K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $163K | $179K | $167K | $208K | $208K | $220K | $223K | $229K | $240K |
| YoY Change | +9.8% | -6.8% | +24.7% | +0.0% | +5.8% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $186K | $186K | $189K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $257K | $274K | $286K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$186K to $257K
32.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$189K to $286K
40.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Creek Lake | $213K | $240K | +12.5% | |
| Athens (Tract 950301) | $223K | $251K | +12.5% | |
| Cedar Creek Lake (Tract 950905) | $214K | $239K | +11.7% | |
| Chandler-Brownsboro | $204K | $222K | +9.1% | |
| Cedar Creek Lake (Tract 950902) | $211K | $218K | +3.2% | |
| Athens (Tract 951300) | $237K | $236K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Creek Lake | $213K | $240K | +12.5% | |
| Chandler-Brownsboro | $199K | $232K | +16.7% | |
| Cedar Creek Lake (Tract 951000) | $85K | $100K | +16.7% | |
| Cedar Creek Lake (Tract 950802) | $342K | $396K | +15.7% | |
| Cedar Creek Lake (Tract 950801) | $158K | $181K | +14.3% | |
| Athens | $223K | $251K | +12.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Creek Lake | $213K | $240K | $98K | |
| LaRue-Poynor | $138K | $153K | $80K | |
| Cedar Creek Lake (Tract 950904) | $202K | $217K | $79K | |
| Cedar Creek Lake (Tract 950700) | $109K | $118K | $66K | |
| Cedar Creek Lake (Tract 951000) | $85K | $100K | $52K | |
| Athens | $70K | $73K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.