What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48215022802 in Southeast Hidalgo · Weslaco · (Tract 228.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $207,931 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48215022802 in Southeast Hidalgo · Weslaco · (Tract 228.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $207,931 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.5%.

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Parcel 48215022802 (Southeast Hidalgo) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48215022802, Southeast Hidalgo · Weslaco · (Tract 228.2) Home Price Forecast

Hidalgo, TX · ZIP 78596 · Census Tract 48215022802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$208K

Downside (P10)

$173K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$226K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$296K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$156K	$161K	$202K	$204K	$208K	$210K	$215K	$226K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$51,931	-$47,131	-$5,931	-$3,731		+$2,324	+$7,033	+$17,756
Growth % vs 2026	-25.0%	-22.7%	-2.9%	-1.8%		+1.1%	+3.4%	+8.5%
Downside (P10)						$165K	$166K	$173K
Upside (P90)						$258K	$279K	$296K

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$165K to $258K

44.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$173K to $296K

54.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.5% · Spread: 55%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48215022802, Southeast Hidalgo · Weslaco · (Tract 228.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).