What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48291700802 in Liberty-Dayton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $237,886 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 15.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48291700802 in Liberty-Dayton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $237,886 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 15.8%.

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Parcel 48291700802, Liberty-Dayton Home Price Forecast

Liberty, TX · ZIP 77535 · Census Tract 48291700802 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$238K

Downside (P10)

$216K

-9% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$275K

+16% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$359K

+51% by 2030

Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$194K	$187K	$212K	$234K	$227K	$238K	$245K	$260K	$275K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$44,386	-$51,386	-$26,086	-$4,186	-$10,686		+$6,809	+$21,751	+$37,549
Growth % vs 2026	-18.7%	-21.6%	-11.0%	-1.8%	-4.5%		+2.9%	+9.1%	+15.8%
Downside (P10)							$202K	$217K	$216K
Upside (P90)							$295K	$333K	$359K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$202K to $295K

37.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$216K to $359K

52.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +15.8% · Spread: 52%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48291700802, Liberty-Dayton on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).