What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48303000501 in Lubbock?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $326,528 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48303000501 in Lubbock?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $326,528 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.6%.

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Parcel 48303000501 (Lubbock) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48303000501, Lubbock Home Price Forecast

Lubbock, TX · ZIP 79415 · Census Tract 48303000501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$327K

Downside (P10)

$272K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$345K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$466K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2021	2022	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$113K	$317K	$327K	$327K	$332K	$334K	$345K	$342K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$213,128	-$9,828	+$172		+$5,384	+$7,400	+$18,378	+$15,252
Growth % vs 2026	-65.3%	-3.0%	+0.1%		+1.6%	+2.3%	+5.6%	+4.7%
Downside (P10)					$282K	$281K	$272K	$301K
Upside (P90)					$380K	$427K	$466K	$387K

Forecast Confidence

86%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$282K to $380K

29.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$301K to $387K

25.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.7% · Spread: 25%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48303000501, Lubbock on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).