What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48309004104 in Waco?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $275,444 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48309004104 in Waco?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $275,444 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.5%.

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Parcel 48309004104 (Waco) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48309004104, Waco Home Price Forecast

McLennan, TX · ZIP 76708 · Census Tract 48309004104 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$275K

Downside (P10)

$234K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$288K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$387K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$165K	$187K	$219K	$257K	$266K	$275K	$277K	$284K	$288K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$110,344	-$88,344	-$56,544	-$18,344	-$9,844		+$1,946	+$8,890	+$12,308
Growth % vs 2026	-40.1%	-32.1%	-20.5%	-6.7%	-3.6%		+0.7%	+3.2%	+4.5%
Downside (P10)							$239K	$242K	$234K
Upside (P90)							$325K	$345K	$387K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$239K to $325K

30.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$234K to $387K

53.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.5% · Spread: 53%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48309004104, Waco on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).