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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
McLennan, TX · ZIP 76707 · Census Tract 48309001000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$142K
Downside (P10)
$111K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$150K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$199K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $69K | $82K | $77K | $78K | $71K | $78K | $82K | $109K | $123K | $139K | $142K | $144K | $150K | $150K |
| YoY Change | +19.2% | -6.6% | +1.0% | -8.5% | +9.1% | +5.4% | +33.6% | +12.0% | +13.8% | +2.1% | +1.0% | +4.3% | +0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $116K | $113K | $111K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $177K | $185K | $199K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$116K to $177K
42.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$111K to $199K
58.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waco · 76707 · (Tract 10) | $141K | $150K | +6.5% | |
| Waco (Tract 000800) | $137K | $157K | +14.3% | |
| Mart | $141K | $155K | +10.0% | |
| Waco (Tract 000900) | $144K | $155K | +7.4% | |
| Waco (Tract 002700) | $138K | $145K | +5.6% | |
| Waco (Tract 000402) | $139K | $146K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waco · 76707 · (Tract 10) | $141K | $150K | +6.5% | |
| Moody-Lorena | $223K | $264K | +18.4% | |
| Waco (Tract 003708) | $284K | $331K | +16.8% | |
| Waco (Tract 000598) | $103K | $118K | +14.9% | |
| Waco (Tract 000800) | $137K | $157K | +14.3% | |
| Waco (Tract 002100) | $108K | $122K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waco · 76707 · (Tract 10) | $141K | $150K | $88K | |
| Waco (Tract 000900) | $144K | $155K | $70K | |
| Waco (Tract 001401) | $111K | $123K | $64K | |
| Waco (Tract 002100) | $108K | $122K | $62K | |
| Waco (Tract 001100) | $110K | $120K | $58K | |
| Waco (Tract 000598) | $103K | $118K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.