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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Montgomery, TX · ZIP 77381 · Census Tract 48339690900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$611K
Downside (P10)
$530K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$636K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$932K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $397K | $429K | $463K | $460K | $438K | $437K | $428K | $493K | $554K | $600K | $611K | $608K | $631K | $636K |
| YoY Change | +8.0% | +7.8% | -0.6% | -4.9% | -0.1% | -2.1% | +15.1% | +12.4% | +8.3% | +1.8% | -0.4% | +3.8% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $534K | $519K | $530K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $769K | $834K | $932K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$534K to $769K
38.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$530K to $932K
63.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Woodlands · 77381 · (Tract 6909) | $606K | $636K | +4.8% | |
| The Woodlands (Tract 691202) | $639K | $754K | +17.9% | |
| Montgomery | $653K | $706K | +8.1% | |
| The Woodlands (Tract 691201) | $580K | $605K | +4.4% | |
| Magnolia | $631K | $659K | +4.3% | |
| The Woodlands (Tract 691000) | $648K | $671K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Woodlands · 77381 · (Tract 6909) | $606K | $636K | +4.8% | |
| Conroe West | $197K | $240K | +22.2% | |
| The Woodlands | $639K | $754K | +17.9% | |
| Montgomery | $344K | $406K | +17.9% | |
| Conroe East | $264K | $309K | +16.9% | |
| New Caney | $166K | $193K | +16.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Woodlands · 77381 · (Tract 6909) | $606K | $636K | $403K | |
| Southeast Montgomery | $188K | $201K | $99K | |
| New Caney | $134K | $148K | $90K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693104) | $147K | $153K | $73K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693103) | $133K | $150K | $71K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693903) | $105K | $116K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.