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Montgomery, TX · ZIP 77328 · Census Tract 48339694002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$189K
Downside (P10)
$160K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$205K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$286K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $113K | $117K | $138K | $182K | $190K | $189K | $195K | $203K | $205K | $196K |
| YoY Change | +3.0% | +17.7% | +32.4% | +4.5% | -0.6% | +3.1% | +4.1% | +1.2% | -4.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $164K | $162K | $160K | $175K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $235K | $247K | $286K | $223K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$164K to $235K
36.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$175K to $223K
24.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Montgomery | $192K | $205K | +6.8% | |
| Conroe West | $197K | $240K | +22.2% | |
| Conroe (Tract 693502) | $192K | $213K | +11.1% | |
| Conroe North | $198K | $216K | +9.3% | |
| Southeast Montgomery | $188K | $201K | +6.6% | |
| Conroe (Tract 693501) | $191K | $203K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Montgomery | $192K | $205K | +6.8% | |
| Conroe West | $197K | $240K | +22.2% | |
| The Woodlands | $639K | $754K | +17.9% | |
| Montgomery | $344K | $406K | +17.9% | |
| Conroe East | $264K | $309K | +16.9% | |
| New Caney | $166K | $193K | +16.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Montgomery | $192K | $205K | $126K | |
| Southeast Montgomery | $188K | $201K | $99K | |
| New Caney | $134K | $148K | $90K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693104) | $147K | $153K | $73K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693103) | $133K | $150K | $71K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693903) | $105K | $116K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.