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Nueces, TX · ZIP 78380 · Census Tract 48355005900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$166K
Downside (P10)
$140K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$184K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$244K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $68K | $68K | $75K | $68K | $72K | $87K | $109K | $121K | $146K | $161K | $166K | $174K | $182K | $184K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$98,445 | -$98,245 | -$91,645 | -$98,245 | -$94,145 | -$79,545 | -$57,845 | -$45,545 | -$20,845 | -$5,645 | +$7,868 | +$16,111 | +$17,754 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -59.2% | -59.1% | -55.1% | -59.1% | -56.6% | -47.8% | -34.8% | -27.4% | -12.5% | -3.4% | +4.7% | +9.7% | +10.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $149K | $142K | $140K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $211K | $229K | $244K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$149K to $211K
35.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$140K to $244K
56.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop | $166K | $184K | +11.0% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002400) | $154K | $178K | +15.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003206) | $174K | $193K | +10.7% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002200) | $156K | $164K | +5.1% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002301) | $157K | $163K | +3.8% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002602) | $176K | $182K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop | $166K | $184K | +11.0% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003500) | $183K | $218K | +19.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001802) | $179K | $212K | +18.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003602) | $206K | $242K | +17.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002400) | $154K | $178K | +15.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001801) | $98K | $113K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop | $166K | $184K | $104K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001602) | $86K | $90K | $46K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001601) | $81K | $86K | $45K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 000602) | $73K | $79K | $37K | |
| Robstown | $62K | $65K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Nueces, TX · ZIP 78380 · Census Tract 48355005900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$166K
Downside (P10)
$140K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$184K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$244K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $68K | $68K | $75K | $68K | $72K | $87K | $109K | $121K | $146K | $161K | $166K | $174K | $182K | $184K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$98,445 | -$98,245 | -$91,645 | -$98,245 | -$94,145 | -$79,545 | -$57,845 | -$45,545 | -$20,845 | -$5,645 | +$7,868 | +$16,111 | +$17,754 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -59.2% | -59.1% | -55.1% | -59.1% | -56.6% | -47.8% | -34.8% | -27.4% | -12.5% | -3.4% | +4.7% | +9.7% | +10.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $149K | $142K | $140K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $211K | $229K | $244K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$149K to $211K
35.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$140K to $244K
56.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop | $166K | $184K | +11.0% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002400) | $154K | $178K | +15.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003206) | $174K | $193K | +10.7% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002200) | $156K | $164K | +5.1% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002301) | $157K | $163K | +3.8% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002602) | $176K | $182K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop | $166K | $184K | +11.0% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003500) | $183K | $218K | +19.2% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001802) | $179K | $212K | +18.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 003602) | $206K | $242K | +17.3% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 002400) | $154K | $178K | +15.5% | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001801) | $98K | $113K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop | $166K | $184K | $104K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001602) | $86K | $90K | $46K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 001601) | $81K | $86K | $45K | |
| Corpus Christi (Tract 000602) | $73K | $79K | $37K | |
| Robstown | $62K | $65K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
