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Polk, TX · ZIP 77351 · Census Tract 48373210203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$127K
Downside (P10)
$99K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$145K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$197K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $50K | $52K | $56K | $60K | $60K | $52K | $85K | $87K | $103K | $124K | $127K | $130K | $136K | $145K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$76,918 | -$74,218 | -$70,718 | -$67,118 | -$66,818 | -$74,618 | -$41,618 | -$39,518 | -$23,918 | -$2,718 | +$3,039 | +$9,175 | +$18,072 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.7% | -58.6% | -55.9% | -53.0% | -52.8% | -58.9% | -32.9% | -31.2% | -18.9% | -2.1% | +2.4% | +7.2% | +14.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $105K | $107K | $99K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $156K | $191K | $197K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$105K to $156K
39.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$99K to $197K
67.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Livingston | $126K | $145K | +14.8% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210301) | $156K | $186K | +19.3% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210104) | $127K | $139K | +9.6% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210103) | $121K | $131K | +7.8% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210204) | $176K | $187K | +6.3% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210302) | $162K | $170K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Livingston | $126K | $145K | +14.8% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210301) | $156K | $186K | +19.3% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210206) | $222K | $246K | +10.9% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210205) | $224K | $248K | +10.8% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210105) | $267K | $295K | +10.6% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210500) | $198K | $218K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Livingston | $126K | $145K | $98K | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210301) | $156K | $186K | $96K | |
| Corrigan | $179K | $186K | $95K | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210302) | $162K | $170K | $88K | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210104) | $127K | $139K | $74K | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210103) | $121K | $131K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Polk, TX · ZIP 77351 · Census Tract 48373210203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$127K
Downside (P10)
$99K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$145K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$197K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $50K | $52K | $56K | $60K | $60K | $52K | $85K | $87K | $103K | $124K | $127K | $130K | $136K | $145K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$76,918 | -$74,218 | -$70,718 | -$67,118 | -$66,818 | -$74,618 | -$41,618 | -$39,518 | -$23,918 | -$2,718 | +$3,039 | +$9,175 | +$18,072 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.7% | -58.6% | -55.9% | -53.0% | -52.8% | -58.9% | -32.9% | -31.2% | -18.9% | -2.1% | +2.4% | +7.2% | +14.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $105K | $107K | $99K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $156K | $191K | $197K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$105K to $156K
39.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$99K to $197K
67.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Livingston | $126K | $145K | +14.8% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210301) | $156K | $186K | +19.3% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210104) | $127K | $139K | +9.6% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210103) | $121K | $131K | +7.8% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210204) | $176K | $187K | +6.3% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210302) | $162K | $170K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Livingston | $126K | $145K | +14.8% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210301) | $156K | $186K | +19.3% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210206) | $222K | $246K | +10.9% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210205) | $224K | $248K | +10.8% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210105) | $267K | $295K | +10.6% | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210500) | $198K | $218K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Livingston | $126K | $145K | $98K | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210301) | $156K | $186K | $96K | |
| Corrigan | $179K | $186K | $95K | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210302) | $162K | $170K | $88K | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210104) | $127K | $139K | $74K | |
| Livingston-Onalaska (Tract 210103) | $121K | $131K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
