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Rockwall, TX · ZIP 75032 · Census Tract 48397040509 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$692K
Downside (P10)
$596K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$736K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.13M
+63% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +63%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $442K | $527K | $616K | $630K | $645K | $692K | $701K | $720K | $736K | $682K |
| YoY Change | +19.0% | +16.9% | +2.3% | +2.5% | +7.3% | +1.3% | +2.8% | +2.2% | -7.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $602K | $609K | $596K | $599K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $826K | $933K | $1.1M | $757K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$602K to $826K
32.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$599K to $757K
23.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Rockwall · Rockwall · (Tract 405.9) | $669K | $736K | +9.9% | |
| Heath | $688K | $783K | +13.9% | |
| South Rockwall (Tract 040514) | $631K | $717K | +13.6% | |
| Northwest Rockwall | $742K | $827K | +11.5% | |
| South Rockwall (Tract 040511) | $696K | $758K | +8.9% | |
| South Rockwall (Tract 040513) | $501K | $536K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Rockwall · Rockwall · (Tract 405.9) | $669K | $736K | +9.9% | |
| Rockwall | $302K | $348K | +15.3% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040405) | $347K | $398K | +14.8% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040407) | $465K | $530K | +14.0% | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040408) | $367K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Heath | $688K | $783K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Rockwall · Rockwall · (Tract 405.9) | $669K | $736K | $535K | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040303) | $411K | $459K | $175K | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040411) | $383K | $411K | $173K | |
| Northwest Rockwall (Tract 040301) | $345K | $368K | $170K | |
| Rockwall | $281K | $304K | $157K | |
| Northeast Rockwall (Tract 040410) | $260K | $285K | $128K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.