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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Antonio, TX · ZIP 78209 · Census Tract 48029120301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$768K
Downside (P10)
$579K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$823K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.18M
+54% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $494K | $531K | $595K | $663K | $725K | $768K | $767K | $799K | $823K |
| YoY Change | +7.4% | +12.1% | +11.5% | +9.3% | +6.0% | -0.2% | +4.3% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $643K | $626K | $579K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $975K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$643K to $975K
43.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$579K to $1.18M
73.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alamo Heights · San Antonio · (Tract 1203.1) | $741K | $823K | +11.2% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 191807) | $675K | $736K | +9.1% | |
| San Antonio North | $766K | $832K | +8.5% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 191412) | $670K | $714K | +6.6% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 190400) | $670K | $710K | +5.9% | |
| Alamo Heights | $815K | $842K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alamo Heights · San Antonio · (Tract 1203.1) | $741K | $823K | +11.2% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 170402) | $117K | $151K | +28.6% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 161504) | $166K | $200K | +20.5% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 131402) | $180K | $216K | +19.8% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 161503) | $173K | $206K | +19.5% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 170300) | $101K | $121K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alamo Heights · San Antonio · (Tract 1203.1) | $741K | $823K | $601K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 130600) | $110K | $117K | $52K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 150400) | $116K | $124K | $52K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 171000) | $103K | $110K | $51K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 131100) | $113K | $123K | $48K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 161304) | $84K | $84K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.