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San Antonio, TX · ZIP 78242 · Census Tract 48029161504 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$170K
Downside (P10)
$141K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$200K
+18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$243K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $75K | $74K | $73K | $81K | $80K | $89K | $105K | $124K | $164K | $170K | $175K | $194K | $200K |
| YoY Change | -0.4% | -0.8% | -1.1% | +10.7% | -1.1% | +10.7% | +18.6% | +17.5% | +32.9% | +3.4% | +2.9% | +10.9% | +3.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $140K | $144K | $141K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $214K | $230K | $243K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$140K to $214K
42.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$141K to $243K
51.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | $166K | $200K | +20.5% | |
| San Antonio South (Tract 162003) | $168K | $187K | +11.4% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 171700) | $171K | $189K | +10.8% | |
| Kirby | $169K | $179K | +6.1% | |
| San Antonio South (Tract 152201) | $167K | $177K | +6.1% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 121204) | $169K | $179K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | $166K | $200K | +20.5% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 170402) | $117K | $151K | +28.6% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 131402) | $180K | $216K | +19.8% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 161503) | $173K | $206K | +19.5% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 170300) | $101K | $121K | +19.2% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 191304) | $249K | $297K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | $166K | $200K | $102K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 130600) | $110K | $117K | $52K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 150400) | $116K | $124K | $52K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 171000) | $103K | $110K | $51K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 131100) | $113K | $123K | $48K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 161304) | $84K | $84K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.