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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Antonio, TX · ZIP 78204 · Census Tract 48029160200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$110K
Downside (P10)
$98K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$124K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$157K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $73K | $76K | $78K | $79K | $83K | $82K | $81K | $92K | $98K | $108K | $110K | $115K | $119K | $124K |
| YoY Change | +4.1% | +3.3% | +1.1% | +4.0% | -0.8% | -1.1% | +13.8% | +6.0% | +11.0% | +2.0% | +4.3% | +3.4% | +4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $97K | $98K | $98K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $132K | $144K | $157K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$97K to $132K
30.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$98K to $157K
47.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southtown · 78204 · (Tract 1602) | $109K | $124K | +14.3% | |
| Harlandale (Tract 151100) | $112K | $130K | +15.4% | |
| Thunderbird Hills | $112K | $123K | +9.5% | |
| Harlandale (Tract 150502) | $112K | $121K | +8.1% | |
| East Side | $110K | $117K | +6.5% | |
| Edgewood | $110K | $116K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southtown · 78204 · (Tract 1602) | $109K | $124K | +14.3% | |
| Westside (Tract 170402) | $117K | $151K | +28.6% | |
| Kelly (Tract 161504) | $166K | $200K | +20.5% | |
| Southeast | $180K | $216K | +19.8% | |
| Kelly (Tract 161503) | $173K | $206K | +19.5% | |
| Westside (Tract 170300) | $101K | $121K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southtown · 78204 · (Tract 1602) | $109K | $124K | $59K | |
| East Side | $110K | $117K | $52K | |
| Avenida Guadalupe | $116K | $124K | $52K | |
| Edgewood | $103K | $110K | $51K | |
| Kirby | $113K | $123K | $48K | |
| Kelly | $84K | $84K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.