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San Antonio, TX · ZIP 78233 · Census Tract 48029121606 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$206K
Downside (P10)
$185K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$218K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$292K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $100K | $100K | $104K | $114K | $150K | $157K | $174K | $190K | $201K | $206K | $210K | $216K | $218K | $208K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$101,733 | -$106,433 | -$106,733 | -$102,333 | -$92,133 | -$56,633 | -$49,733 | -$32,833 | -$16,333 | -$5,133 | +$3,328 | +$9,134 | +$11,216 | +$1,772 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.3% | -51.6% | -51.7% | -49.6% | -44.6% | -27.4% | -24.1% | -15.9% | -7.9% | -2.5% | +1.6% | +4.4% | +5.4% | +0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $180K | $185K | $185K | $184K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $253K | $278K | $292K | $238K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$180K to $253K
34.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$184K to $238K
26.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live Oak | $201K | $218K | +8.0% | |
| San Antonio Northeast (Tract 131614) | $202K | $223K | +10.2% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 121205) | $203K | $221K | +8.7% | |
| San Antonio Northeast (Tract 121508) | $209K | $224K | +7.2% | |
| San Antonio South | $210K | $224K | +6.9% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 121206) | $203K | $209K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live Oak | $201K | $218K | +8.0% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 131402) | $180K | $216K | +19.8% | |
| San Antonio East | $177K | $208K | +17.7% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 151500) | $137K | $161K | +17.0% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 121813) | $263K | $307K | +16.7% | |
| San Antonio Northeast | $244K | $283K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live Oak | $201K | $218K | $107K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 160200) | $109K | $124K | $59K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 150300) | $116K | $123K | $54K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 130600) | $110K | $117K | $52K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 150400) | $116K | $124K | $52K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 131100) | $113K | $123K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
San Antonio, TX · ZIP 78233 · Census Tract 48029121606 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$206K
Downside (P10)
$185K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$218K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$292K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $100K | $100K | $104K | $114K | $150K | $157K | $174K | $190K | $201K | $206K | $210K | $216K | $218K | $208K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$101,733 | -$106,433 | -$106,733 | -$102,333 | -$92,133 | -$56,633 | -$49,733 | -$32,833 | -$16,333 | -$5,133 | +$3,328 | +$9,134 | +$11,216 | +$1,772 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.3% | -51.6% | -51.7% | -49.6% | -44.6% | -27.4% | -24.1% | -15.9% | -7.9% | -2.5% | +1.6% | +4.4% | +5.4% | +0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $180K | $185K | $185K | $184K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $253K | $278K | $292K | $238K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$180K to $253K
34.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$184K to $238K
26.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live Oak | $201K | $218K | +8.0% | |
| San Antonio Northeast (Tract 131614) | $202K | $223K | +10.2% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 121205) | $203K | $221K | +8.7% | |
| San Antonio Northeast (Tract 121508) | $209K | $224K | +7.2% | |
| San Antonio South | $210K | $224K | +6.9% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 121206) | $203K | $209K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live Oak | $201K | $218K | +8.0% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 131402) | $180K | $216K | +19.8% | |
| San Antonio East | $177K | $208K | +17.7% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 151500) | $137K | $161K | +17.0% | |
| San Antonio (Tract 121813) | $263K | $307K | +16.7% | |
| San Antonio Northeast | $244K | $283K | +15.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Live Oak | $201K | $218K | $107K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 160200) | $109K | $124K | $59K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 150300) | $116K | $123K | $54K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 130600) | $110K | $117K | $52K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 150400) | $116K | $124K | $52K | |
| San Antonio (Tract 131100) | $113K | $123K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
