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Tarrant, TX · ZIP 76140 · Census Tract 48439111202 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$184K
Downside (P10)
$169K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$198K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$283K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $69K | $71K | $73K | $75K | $81K | $105K | $122K | $150K | $168K | $178K | $184K | $190K | $195K | $198K |
| YoY Change | +2.5% | +3.4% | +2.0% | +8.6% | +29.3% | +16.6% | +22.4% | +12.3% | +5.7% | +3.3% | +3.4% | +2.7% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $162K | $164K | $169K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $227K | $253K | $283K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$162K to $227K
34.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$169K to $283K
57.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everman | $178K | $198K | +10.9% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 101403) | $182K | $211K | +16.1% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 102302) | $182K | $199K | +9.6% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 104802) | $181K | $190K | +5.2% | |
| Arlington | $186K | $195K | +5.1% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 101202) | $183K | $188K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everman | $178K | $198K | +10.9% | |
| Grapevine | $406K | $513K | +26.5% | |
| Fort Worth | $276K | $336K | +21.8% | |
| Grand Prairie | $379K | $459K | +21.1% | |
| Watauga | $300K | $362K | +20.7% | |
| Haltom City | $209K | $250K | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everman | $178K | $198K | $113K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 100800) | $141K | $147K | $68K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106102) | $94K | $106K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106520) | $86K | $94K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106400) | $89K | $98K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.