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Tarrant, TX · ZIP 76116 · Census Tract 48439105408 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$500K
Downside (P10)
$425K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$544K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$723K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $381K | $393K | $470K | $482K | $498K | $500K | $519K | $540K | $544K | $516K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$118,443 | -$107,143 | -$29,943 | -$18,043 | -$1,743 | +$19,253 | +$40,763 | +$44,364 | +$16,627 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -23.7% | -21.4% | -6.0% | -3.6% | -0.3% | +3.9% | +8.2% | +8.9% | +3.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $439K | $436K | $425K | $454K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $613K | $663K | $723K | $586K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$439K to $613K
33.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$454K to $586K
25.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $499K | $544K | +8.9% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 110903) | $466K | $515K | +10.6% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 104202) | $493K | $541K | +9.8% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 110808) | $484K | $519K | +7.3% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 104301) | $484K | $502K | +3.8% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 102700) | $454K | $462K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $499K | $544K | +8.9% | |
| Haltom City | $209K | $250K | +19.8% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 105520) | $1.02M | $1.21M | +19.0% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 100202) | $169K | $200K | +18.9% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 105009) | $171K | $203K | +18.1% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 105511) | $232K | $271K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $499K | $544K | $298K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 105902) | $97K | $106K | $71K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 100800) | $141K | $147K | $68K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106102) | $94K | $106K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106520) | $86K | $94K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106400) | $89K | $98K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Tarrant, TX · ZIP 76116 · Census Tract 48439105408 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$500K
Downside (P10)
$425K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$544K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$723K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $381K | $393K | $470K | $482K | $498K | $500K | $519K | $540K | $544K | $516K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$118,443 | -$107,143 | -$29,943 | -$18,043 | -$1,743 | +$19,253 | +$40,763 | +$44,364 | +$16,627 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -23.7% | -21.4% | -6.0% | -3.6% | -0.3% | +3.9% | +8.2% | +8.9% | +3.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $439K | $436K | $425K | $454K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $613K | $663K | $723K | $586K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$439K to $613K
33.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$454K to $586K
25.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $499K | $544K | +8.9% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 110903) | $466K | $515K | +10.6% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 104202) | $493K | $541K | +9.8% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 110808) | $484K | $519K | +7.3% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 104301) | $484K | $502K | +3.8% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 102700) | $454K | $462K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $499K | $544K | +8.9% | |
| Haltom City | $209K | $250K | +19.8% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 105520) | $1.02M | $1.21M | +19.0% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 100202) | $169K | $200K | +18.9% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 105009) | $171K | $203K | +18.1% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 105511) | $232K | $271K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $499K | $544K | $298K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 105902) | $97K | $106K | $71K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 100800) | $141K | $147K | $68K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106102) | $94K | $106K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106520) | $86K | $94K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106400) | $89K | $98K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
