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Tom Green, TX · ZIP 76904 · Census Tract 48451001707 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$295K
Downside (P10)
$235K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$308K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$423K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $170K | $177K | $185K | $194K | $199K | $203K | $211K | $240K | $270K | $298K | $295K | $297K | $296K | $308K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$124,436 | -$118,136 | -$110,136 | -$100,636 | -$95,536 | -$91,436 | -$84,336 | -$54,636 | -$25,336 | +$2,664 | +$2,626 | +$1,297 | +$13,662 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.2% | -40.1% | -37.4% | -34.1% | -32.4% | -31.0% | -28.6% | -18.5% | -8.6% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +4.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $239K | $235K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $375K | $404K | $423K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$240K to $375K
45.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$235K to $423K
60.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Tom Green | $300K | $308K | +3.0% | |
| East Tom Green | $261K | $287K | +9.8% | |
| West Tom Green (Tract 001710) | $311K | $341K | +9.5% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001706) | $311K | $338K | +8.5% | |
| West Tom Green (Tract 001709) | $305K | $324K | +6.1% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001304) | $245K | $251K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Tom Green | $300K | $308K | +3.0% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001800) | $62K | $73K | +17.6% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001402) | $84K | $97K | +15.9% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000802) | $109K | $125K | +14.9% | |
| Grape Creek | $123K | $141K | +14.6% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000700) | $83K | $94K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Tom Green | $300K | $308K | $188K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000200) | $124K | $132K | $66K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000900) | $110K | $119K | $62K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000400) | $102K | $109K | $56K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001800) | $62K | $73K | $49K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000700) | $83K | $94K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Tom Green, TX · ZIP 76904 · Census Tract 48451001707 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$295K
Downside (P10)
$235K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$308K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$423K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $170K | $177K | $185K | $194K | $199K | $203K | $211K | $240K | $270K | $298K | $295K | $297K | $296K | $308K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$124,436 | -$118,136 | -$110,136 | -$100,636 | -$95,536 | -$91,436 | -$84,336 | -$54,636 | -$25,336 | +$2,664 | +$2,626 | +$1,297 | +$13,662 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.2% | -40.1% | -37.4% | -34.1% | -32.4% | -31.0% | -28.6% | -18.5% | -8.6% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +4.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $239K | $235K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $375K | $404K | $423K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$240K to $375K
45.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$235K to $423K
60.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Tom Green | $300K | $308K | +3.0% | |
| East Tom Green | $261K | $287K | +9.8% | |
| West Tom Green (Tract 001710) | $311K | $341K | +9.5% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001706) | $311K | $338K | +8.5% | |
| West Tom Green (Tract 001709) | $305K | $324K | +6.1% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001304) | $245K | $251K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Tom Green | $300K | $308K | +3.0% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001800) | $62K | $73K | +17.6% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001402) | $84K | $97K | +15.9% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000802) | $109K | $125K | +14.9% | |
| Grape Creek | $123K | $141K | +14.6% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000700) | $83K | $94K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Tom Green | $300K | $308K | $188K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000200) | $124K | $132K | $66K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000900) | $110K | $119K | $62K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000400) | $102K | $109K | $56K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001800) | $62K | $73K | $49K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000700) | $83K | $94K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
